Thursday, September 20, 2007

Holy Wagers - September 22nd Weekend

Last week, I had a solid week with my Holy Wagers, going 4-1-1. I plan on continuing to pick 5 0r 6 games per week, college or pro, and see how it goes. Here are my picks for this week, bet at your own risk!


College Games (Saturday)



Central Florida -7 vs. Memphis [Most Blessed Pick of the Week] - Memphis is awful against the run, and the George O'Leary coached Knights have the top rusher in the nation. Central Florida lost to Texas by 3 last week, and I just think in their new stadium in Orlando, this is an especially bad matchup.

Michigan +3 vs. Penn St. - Michigan has been awful all year. I think two things: first, Penn St is a bit overrated. Their QB is a walking possible disaster, and they dont have a stud running game to hang their hat on. Secondly, Michigan, I believe, came out of a funk and got some confidence last week in their thumping of the Irish. I will take the 3 points in the Big House, in a game that would put Michigan back towards the top of the conference, this being their first conference game.

Florida -23.5 @ Ole Miss - Ole Miss has done well against Florida, winning the past two contests ('02 & '03). However, the combination of an explosive Gator offense against a very subpar Ole Miss defense is not enticing. I would imagine Ole Miss will try to run the ball and play keepaway with the clock, but something tells me that either Ole Miss QB will make a mistake when given the chance. Florida will be scoring 35 points at a minimum, and I think Ole Miss cannot score more than 20. All that said, Im willing to take the chance that Florida will get in the 40s and cover this bet.


Pro Games


Colts -6 @ Texans - The Texans are playing well and playing at home. However, they've never done well against the Colts, unlike the Titans. Typically teams have to have lots of positive experience playing against the Colts before they can play with them, and I just dont see it. Houston is much improved, but with Andre Johnson out, and the line having moved 1.5 pts in the Colts favor already, I dont see this one being within 10pts.

Raiders -3 vs. Browns - Looks crazy dont it? Raiders favored!? Well, they have actually looked pretty solid on offense and defense this year, much improved over last year. They should have beaten the Broncos in Denver last week, and are ready to win at home with a rejuvenated crowd. I say lightening doesnt strike twice and the Browns offense gets stuff, Raiders winning by two TDs.

Panthers -4 @ Falcons - The Falcons played a close game last week, but against a heavily struggling offense in the Jaguars. I dont think they will be able to move the ball for more than a couple of TDs, and I think Carolina really really needs to win this game to hang around the NFC South. The Falcons season is already over, and Leftwich looms over Harrington's shoulders. Panthers in a close one by a TD.


I also like the Titans on Monday night getting 4.5 at New Orleans, but thats a bit too biased to make for a Holy Wager. I really like our defense though, and think that our offense is sneaky the way we control the ground game.

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