Showing posts with label 2009 Season Preview. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2009 Season Preview. Show all posts

Thursday, September 3, 2009

2009 Season Prediction

The season is upon us, and most college football fans can barely contain the excitement. I cannot remember an opening weekend with so many interesting games: Oklahoma St hosts Georgia, Alabama vs Virginia Tech, BYU vs Oklahoma, Oregon vs Boise St (tonight). And then of course Notre Dame opening up with Nevada (2:30pm central, NBC), with the Irish being two touchdown favorites over the #3 ranked rushing team in the country of 2008.

Its prediction time - with this year's theme being the same here at Vatican Smoke as it is for Charlie Weis and the Irish - "Don't Tell Me, Show Me". While Coach Weis won't predict anything, here is our first prediction: 2009 will be an memorable season for the Irish football team and fans. Either we watch our program turn the corner and begin a run of sustained success, or we get saddled with another rebuilding project and a new coach. It feels as though either of these outcomes are more likely than a run of the mill 7-5 season.


Now onto the specifc wins and losses. Each week, we will have an opponent specific preview with more details. Here is a quick rundown of how we here at Vatican Smoke think the season will play out:
  • Sept 5th - Nevada - W
  • Sept 12th - @ Michigan - W
  • Sept 19th - Michigan St - L
  • Sept 26th - Purdue - W
  • Oct 3rd - Washington - W
  • Oct 10th - BYE
  • Oct 17th - USC - L
  • Oct 26th - Boston College - W
  • Oct 31st - Wash St (in San Antonio) - W
  • Nov 7th - Navy - W
  • Nov 14th - @ Pittsburgh - W
  • Nov 21st - UConn - W
  • Nov 28th - @ Stanford - L

  • Overall Record: 9-3
  • Bowl Game: Gator Bowl
  • Opponent: North Carolina
  • Bowl Game Score: ND 34 UNC 27
  • Final Record: 10-3
  • Final Ranking: #12 in the AP, #13 in the Coaches Poll

  • Offensive MVP: Jimmy Clausen (Jr QB)
  • Defensive MVP: Brian Smith (Jr Weakside LB)
  • Best Freshman: Theo Reddick (Freshman return man & scatback RB)
  • Special Teams MVP: Nick Tausch (Freshman Kicker)
  • Most Improved: Armando Allen (Jr RB)

10-3 with a bowl victory in a New Years Day bowl. A solid season, but short of the BCS. Inconsistency will be the reason the Irish fall in very close losses to Michigan St, USC, and Stanford on a last second field goal. However, the Irish will greatly improve in turnovers and rushing offense. And finally the Irish will learn to beat down weaker competition. Only a few costly INTs by Jimmy Clausen, as well as the defense being unable to seal the deal, will hurt the Irish in their 3 close losses. USC loses the total offense battle against the Irish, but Pete Carroll's defense finds a way to make a big play in the 4th quarter. Michigan St beats up on the turnover prone Irish early, withstanding a solid comeback bid that falls short. Stanford outplays the complacent Irish in the 4th quarter, winning by a last second field goal. Sentiment heading into the offseason will be saved by the bowl game performance against a solid North Carolina squad. The "hot seat" talk about Charlie's job slows down to a drip, and recruiting gains even more momentum.

One last tidbit about the season that I found interesting - The great Notre Dame blog, Blue Gray Sky, last year compared Weis's 4 year coaching career to the standard 5 act dramatic structure of a play. Acts 1 and 2 were the "exposition" and "rising action of the hero" (2005-2006). Act 3 was the climax or turning point (2007). Act 4 was the "falling action" (2008). What will Act 5 be? Catastrophy (Tragedy) or Resolution (Comedy)? Enjoy Act 5, and check back on Friday for the Nevada game preview.